Ilirija 1911 vs Nafta Lendava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilirija 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
ILI
2 - 2
BEL
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ROG
2 - 0
ILI
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ILI
0 - 1
KRK
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
GOR
0 - 1
ILI
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ILI
2 - 0
KRS
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
NKN
4 - 1
FUZ
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
NKN
12%
19%
69%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
NKN
4 - 1
BIL
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 0
NKN
38%
24%
38%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
NKN
2 - 0
RUD
66%
20%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |