Ilirija 1911 vs NK Krka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
11º
3º
53
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilirija 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
3 - 1
ILI
76%
15%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKP
0 - 1
ILI
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ILI
2 - 1
BIL
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NKD
1 - 4
ILI
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ILI
0 - 0
DEK
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
NK Krka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
KRK
8 - 0
NKL
92%
7%
2%
|
60 | 15 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KRK
3 - 0
KRS
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KRK
1 - 1
RUD
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NKD
2 - 1
KRK
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NKP
2 - 2
KRK
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |