Ilirija 1911 vs Brinje-Grosuplje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
9º
15º
13º
29
3º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation
|
28.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilirija 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 2
ILI
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 1
ILI
7%
15%
78%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ILI
1 - 3
GOR
19%
25%
57%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ILI
0 - 0
NSV
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ALU
3 - 1
ILI
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brinje-Grosuplje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
KRK
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 0
ALU
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 2
BRI
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DEK
0 - 2
BRI
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
BRI
25%
24%
52%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |