Iliria vs Subingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
33%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
PAJ
2 - 3
ILI
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
ILI
1 - 4
WOH
20%
20%
60%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
LIE
3 - 2
ILI
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ILI
1 - 1
BST
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ROT
3 - 2
ILI
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SUB
0 - 6
AAR
11%
16%
72%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
SCH
3 - 1
SUB
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SUB
1 - 5
HON
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
OLT
1 - 0
SUB
69%
19%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SUB
1 - 0
DIE
13%
18%
70%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +2 |