Iliria vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
74.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SCH
0 - 1
ILI
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ILI
1 - 1
HON
9%
14%
78%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
OLT
0 - 1
ILI
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SUB
2 - 3
ILI
81%
12%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ILI
0 - 1
PAJ
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
DIE
3 - 0
AAR
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AAR
2 - 2
SCH
77%
14%
10%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HON
2 - 2
AAR
52%
21%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLT
1 - 1
AAR
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AAR
2 - 1
SUB
88%
9%
4%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |