Cup Last 16
Global 1-4
KF Iliria vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HIM
1 - 1
ILI
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ILI
3 - 0
GRA
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MAM
0 - 0
ILI
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ILI
3 - 1
POG
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ELB
2 - 3
ILI
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VLZ
1 - 1
APO
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VLZ
3 - 0
LUF
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
KUK
0 - 0
VLZ
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
VLZ
1 - 3
KFS
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VLZ
4 - 4
SHK
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -2 |