Ilipense-Zalamea vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+135%
+112%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilipense-Zalamea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
5 - 0
ZAL
85%
11%
4%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 3
CAM
8%
16%
76%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RMC
7 - 2
ZAL
74%
15%
11%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 8
HER
14%
21%
65%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GIM
2 - 0
ZAL
74%
16%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
QUI
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAS
18%
21%
61%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MON
3 - 2
GUA
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
CAM
22%
23%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
3 - 1
GUA
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |