Ilipense-Zalamea vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
76.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+135%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilipense-Zalamea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 0
ZAL
82%
13%
5%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 2
RMC
8%
14%
78%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HER
5 - 1
ZAL
81%
12%
7%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 1
GIM
27%
22%
51%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
QUI
4 - 0
ZAL
85%
11%
5%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
GUA
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
CAM
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RMC
1 - 0
CAS
35%
22%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 0
CAS
9%
17%
74%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |