Q. Europa League Play Offs Final
Global 1-3
Žilina vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žilina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PET
1 - 0
ZIL
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
ZIL
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ZIL
1 - 0
RUZ
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
KOS
0 - 2
ZIL
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
HKS
0 - 1
ZIL
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
JAV
1 - 1
PAR
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
ZIL
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
5 - 0
BOR
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
APO
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
APO
2 - 0
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |