Žilina vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
5º
4º
57
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
58 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žilina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
POD
1 - 2
ZIL
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ZIL
0 - 0
RUZ
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ZIL
0 - 3
SBR
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
TNV
1 - 0
ZIL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DAC
2 - 1
ZIL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TNV
1 - 2
SBR
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
POD
0 - 0
TNV
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
POD
0 - 2
TNV
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RUZ
2 - 1
TNV
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TNV
1 - 0
POD
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |