Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 0-5
Žilina vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žilina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ZIL
2 - 2
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
MTA
1 - 1
ZIL
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
TNV
0 - 0
ZIL
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
ZIL
1 - 0
MTA
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
ZIL
2 - 2
PET
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
CHL
2 - 1
LIV
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
WHU
1 - 0
CHL
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
CHL
1 - 1
FUL
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
CHL
4 - 1
EVE
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ASV
2 - 1
CHL
27%
27%
46%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |