IL Runar vs Sandefjord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IL Runar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
RUN
7 - 2
STI
87%
10%
3%
|
35 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
NFK
6 - 3
RUN
13%
20%
67%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | -3 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
RUN
2 - 1
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
FRA
4 - 0
RUN
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2003 |
RUN
4 - 1
36%
26%
39%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Sandefjord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
STR
1 - 1
SDF
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SDF
1 - 1
IKS
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SDF
1 - 2
S08
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
HAM
2 - 3
SDF
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SDF
5 - 1
ASK
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |