Gneist vs Lysekloster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
75.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
14º
12º
70
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gneist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
7 - 0
ILG
91%
6%
3%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ILG
2 - 1
GRO
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ULL
4 - 0
ILG
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ILG
1 - 1
GIF
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
ILG
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lysekloster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LYS
2 - 1
STA
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
OTF
3 - 3
LYS
27%
21%
52%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LYS
6 - 2
FRI
52%
22%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SKE
0 - 1
LYS
6%
13%
81%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GIF
1 - 2
LYS
27%
22%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |