IK Zenith vs Vänersborgs FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
74.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
14º
12º
29
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
59.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Zenith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
IKZ
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
IKZ
3 - 2
FBK
6%
11%
82%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LID
3 - 2
IKZ
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
IKZ
0 - 6
GAU
8%
16%
76%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
STE
1 - 0
IKZ
88%
8%
3%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Vänersborgs FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
VFK
2 - 3
SKO
45%
21%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
2 - 2
VFK
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
YIK
0 - 2
VFK
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VFK
0 - 3
HER
24%
20%
56%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FBK
3 - 0
VFK
36%
22%
43%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |