IK Start vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
13º
16º
13º
55
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 49 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 46 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 43 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 43 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 40 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 36 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 34 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 32 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
66% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 23 |
16º
|
87% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Start
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
RAU
2 - 1
IKS
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
IKS
4 - 3
STB
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
IKS
1 - 4
LYN
40%
24%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 1
IKS
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
IKS
2 - 1
SOG
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
VIF
8 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
EGE
1 - 1
VIF
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
VIF
5 - 1
MOS
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 3
VIF
18%
23%
60%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
VIF
3 - 1
LEV
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |