IK Start vs Sogndal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
10º
16º
11º
20
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 60 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 53 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 51 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 51 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 46 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 45 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 41 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 37 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 35 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 33 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 32 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 28 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 27 |
16º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 34% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Start
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 1
IKS
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
IKS
4 - 3
EGE
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 0
IKS
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
IKS
0 - 0
RAN
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KON
3 - 0
IKS
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sogndal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 1
RAU
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ELP
0 - 2
SOG
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SOG
5 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
SOG
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 1
KFU
28%
23%
50%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |