IK Start vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Start
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
BOG
1 - 1
IKS
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
IKS
4 - 5
ELP
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
TRO
3 - 1
IKS
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
IKS
3 - 0
VIF
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2005 |
BBS
1 - 0
IKS
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
FFK
1 - 1
LSK
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
FFK
1 - 1
MFK
40%
24%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BOG
1 - 2
FFK
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
FFK
1 - 4
ELP
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
TRO
2 - 0
FFK
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |