Champions League 1/16
Global 1-4
IK Start vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Start
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
LSK
0 - 0
IKS
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
IKS
3 - 4
BRY
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
LYN
2 - 3
IKS
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1981 |
IKS
4 - 0
BBS
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1981 |
FFK
2 - 2
IKS
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
AZA
4 - 0
RJC
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
UTR
1 - 0
AZA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
AZA
1 - 3
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
PSV
2 - 4
AZA
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
SPA
2 - 2
AZA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |