Junkeren vs Vålerenga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.1%
18.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
13º
12º
7
12º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 55 |
1º
|
71% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 49 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 48 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 47 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 44 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 44 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
11º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 19 |
12º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 10 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 8 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
99.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junkeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
IKJ
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
IKJ
3 - 0
ULL
16%
20%
64%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +3 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KJE
3 - 2
IKJ
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
IKJ
3 - 4
FOL
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ALT
5 - 0
IKJ
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vålerenga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 3
TRO
10%
16%
74%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 3
FOL
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 1
VAL
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 3
SKE
28%
25%
46%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
KJE
3 - 1
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |