Junkeren vs Ullern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
11º
11º
13
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junkeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
GJO
0 - 0
IKJ
40%
23%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ASA
4 - 1
IKJ
56%
20%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 6
IKJ
6%
13%
81%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
IKJ
6 - 1
RFK
84%
11%
5%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ROS
0 - 1
IKJ
14%
18%
68%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
ULL
0 - 2
KVI
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KJE
1 - 0
ULL
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
BSN
1 - 1
ULL
11%
15%
74%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ULL
2 - 2
GRO
30%
22%
48%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 1
FRA
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |