IK Brage vs Varbergs BoIS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
7º
6º
27
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 57 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 53 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 51 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 49 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 44 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 34 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 31 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Brage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 0
IKB
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
IKB
2 - 0
FBS
87%
10%
4%
|
64 | 7 | 57 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
UTS
1 - 3
IKB
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
IKB
0 - 0
SIR
23%
22%
56%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 1
IKB
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GAI
1 - 1
VAR
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 1
VAR
39%
23%
38%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MFF
1 - 1
VAR
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 4
OIF
31%
24%
45%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 4
VAR
8%
14%
78%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |