UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Bnei Sakhnin vs Renova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bnei Sakhnin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
REN
1 - 2
BSA
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2008 |
BEI
1 - 2
BSA
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
BSA
1 - 2
ASH
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 2
BSA
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BSA
0 - 1
HAP
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
REN
1 - 2
BSA
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
REN
2 - 0
RIJ
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
RIJ
0 - 0
REN
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
CEM
0 - 3
REN
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
REN
2 - 0
SHK
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |