Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Last 16
Global 4-3
Iguatu vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
IGU
47%
27%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
IGU
2 - 1
JAC
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
JAC
0 - 0
IGU
47%
27%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 0
SOU
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
IGU
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
IGU
47%
27%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
MAN
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
TDC
77%
15%
7%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 5
MAN
7%
19%
74%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |