Iguatu vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
67.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
IGU
73%
18%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 0
FLO
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
IGU
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
IGU
88%
10%
3%
|
49 | 90 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 0
CAU
40%
23%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
JUV
13%
23%
64%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAX
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SLU
1 - 1
JUV
14%
23%
63%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
JUV
11%
21%
68%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 1
ECA
85%
12%
3%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |