Iguatu vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
IGU
24%
22%
54%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
IGU
0 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
28%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
3 - 3
IGU
85%
12%
4%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
IGU
0 - 2
FLO
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
IGU
2 - 2
FER
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
HOR
2 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
HOR
31%
23%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 1
HOR
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
IGU
1 - 0
HOR
18%
21%
61%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |