Iguatu vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
IGU
83%
13%
4%
|
38 | 85 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 1
CAU
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 0
IGU
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 0
CEA
7%
20%
73%
|
38 | 82 | 44 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
CEA
2 - 1
IGU
86%
11%
3%
|
38 | 82 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 5
CEA
7%
22%
72%
|
37 | 83 | 46 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
HOR
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GPM
0 - 1
GUA
22%
21%
57%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
FLO
16%
25%
59%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +8 |