Iguatu vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TIR
0 - 2
IGU
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
IGU
1 - 1
FLO
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
IGU
1 - 0
HOR
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
IGU
35%
23%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 1
IGU
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
GUA
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 4
FOR
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 2
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 3
TIR
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FLO
2 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |