Igalo vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
9º
6º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24.5% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FKM
0 - 3
IGA
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KOM
2 - 1
IGA
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
IGA
0 - 2
MLJ
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ZET
1 - 4
IGA
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
IGA
1 - 2
GRB
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 2
OFK
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
OUL
3 - 0
BER
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +5 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKM
3 - 0
OUL
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BOK
4 - 0
OUL
72%
19%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 3
KOM
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |