IFK Varnamo vs Örgryte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
KRI
2 - 1
IFK
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
IFK
3 - 0
MOT
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ROS
3 - 3
IFK
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
IFK
1 - 1
LIM
39%
27%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SYL
1 - 2
IFK
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
DEG
0 - 1
ORG
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
ORG
1 - 1
AFC
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
GEF
2 - 2
ORG
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
ORG
1 - 1
ELF
22%
25%
52%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
DJU
2 - 1
ORG
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |