Relegation Superettan Final
Global 3-0
IFK Varnamo vs AFC Eskilstuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 2
IFK
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FAL
4 - 0
IFK
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
IFK
1 - 1
ANG
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
IFK
1 - 0
HIF
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DEG
2 - 0
IFK
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Eskilstuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 2
IFK
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
IFK
0 - 4
AFC
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 0
VAL
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
IKF
1 - 0
AFC
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 1
SIR
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |