Stocksund vs FBK Karlstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
14º
11º
20
5º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 69 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 64 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 62 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 44 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 42 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
35% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 24 |
15º
|
46.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 22 |
16º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 35% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 46.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stocksund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
IFS
1 - 4
VAS
34%
23%
43%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
SOL
5 - 1
IFS
41%
22%
37%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SOL
2 - 3
IFS
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ESK
1 - 2
IFS
15%
18%
68%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
IFS
1 - 0
HTF
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LJU
0 - 1
FBK
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 0
FBK
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 3
PIT
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
BKF
0 - 5
FBK
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
FBK
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |