Simrishamn vs Varbergs BoIS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
81.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OST
1 - 1
SIM
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 3
HOG
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 2
KRI
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
SIM
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 2
IFK
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 0
GIF
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GEF
0 - 4
VAR
44%
25%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 3
HEL
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OST
2 - 1
VAR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
LAN
34%
26%
39%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |