Simrishamn vs Österlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
13º
12º
45
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HOG
1 - 2
SIM
19%
19%
62%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SIM
3 - 2
BER
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
KRI
0 - 0
SIM
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LBK
6 - 0
SIM
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 2
KAR
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Österlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OST
1 - 0
FBK
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 4
OST
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
OST
1 - 1
NOS
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 2
OST
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
OST
53%
23%
25%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |