IFK Östersund vs Notvikens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
7º
6º
9
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Östersund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SKE
1 - 4
OST
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OST
4 - 1
YIK
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
OST
5 - 1
SAF
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
IFK
4 - 1
OST
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
OST
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Notvikens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 2
YIK
23%
20%
58%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
IFA
2 - 1
NOT
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 4
GIF
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
SAF
6 - 1
NOT
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KFF
1 - 1
NOT
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |