Europa League 1/32
Global 4-1
IFK Norrköping vs UTA Arad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
ORG
1 - 0
NOR
39%
28%
34%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
UTA
1 - 2
NOR
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
NOR
1 - 4
AIK
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1972 |
HAL
0 - 2
NOR
35%
30%
36%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
NOR
4 - 1
HIF
73%
18%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
BRA
3 - 0
UTA
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
UTA
1 - 2
NOR
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
UTA
0 - 1
DBU
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
RAP
0 - 0
UTA
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
UTA
2 - 1
ARG
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |