Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 1-3
IFK Mariehamn vs Shamakhi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
IFK
0 - 0
FFJ
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 1
IFK
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
MYP
3 - 1
IFK
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
IFK
0 - 5
HJK
29%
25%
45%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
INT
0 - 2
IFK
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 1
IFK
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 0
FKQ
46%
29%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
SIM
1 - 0
SHA
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SHA
0 - 0
QAR
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 1
FKB
46%
29%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |