IFK Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
11º
10º
43
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
EKE
1 - 2
IFK
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 3
KUO
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 0
VAA
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
HAK
2 - 0
IFK
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
SEI
0 - 2
IFK
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
EKE
0 - 0
HJK
17%
20%
63%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
HJK
3 - 1
KUO
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
TUP
0 - 5
HJK
4%
9%
87%
|
77 | 24 | 53 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
GNI
0 - 4
HJK
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
HJK
4 - 1
SEI
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |