IFK Mariehamn vs FC Lahti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
11º
10º
19
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ILV
2 - 0
IFK
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
INT
3 - 0
IFK
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VAA
2 - 1
IFK
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 4
SEI
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 3
HAK
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
4 - 0
EKE
44%
25%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
HJK
16%
23%
62%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SEI
5 - 5
FCL
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
1 - 0
FCL
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
OUL
30%
25%
46%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |