IFK Luleå vs Umeå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Luleå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
IFK
4 - 0
PIT
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
KAL
1 - 2
IFK
9%
14%
77%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
IFK
3 - 1
YIK
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ANU
0 - 5
IFK
11%
17%
73%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
IFK
2 - 1
GIF
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
SOL
3 - 2
UME
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
UME
2 - 0
BBK
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SYL
1 - 3
UME
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
UME
1 - 0
GEF
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
KAR
2 - 1
UME
27%
25%
49%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |