IFK Luleå vs Bergnäsets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
7º
44
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 66 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 63 |
2º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 48 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 44 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 43 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 17 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Luleå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OST
2 - 2
IFK
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 1
YIK
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 1
TAF
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
THO
1 - 3
IFK
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PIT
0 - 0
IFK
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bergnäsets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
THO
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
BOD
2 - 0
BER
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BER
3 - 2
SKE
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +4 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
KFF
0 - 1
BER
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BER
2 - 4
FIF
67%
17%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |