Europa League Final
Global 4-0
IFK Göteborg vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1982 |
GÖT
2 - 1
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1982 |
GÖT
1 - 0
IKB
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
GÖT
2 - 1
KAI
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 1982 |
KAI
1 - 1
GÖT
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
GÖT
2 - 0
VCF
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1982 |
HSV
4 - 0
KAI
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1982 |
HSV
0 - 0
LEV
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
BYM
3 - 4
HSV
63%
19%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
HSV
5 - 1
RAD
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
HSV
3 - 1
ARB
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |