Lodde vs Karlshamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
60.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
14º
14º
30
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 56 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 55 |
2º
|
64% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 46 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 44 |
4º
|
54% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 37 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 35 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 29 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 29 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 24 |
13º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 22 |
14º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
89.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lodde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 0
IFL
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 3
SIM
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 0
IFL
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IFL
1 - 1
RAP
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
NOS
1 - 0
IFL
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 1
KAR
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
HAS
4 - 1
IFK
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
OST
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HOG
0 - 2
IFK
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 1
BER
36%
22%
41%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |