IF Karlstad vs Assyriska FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
13º
5º
29
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 68 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 65 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 65 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 43 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 33 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 30 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 28 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 26 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 2
KAR
43%
25%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 2
FBK
69%
17%
14%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 0
KAR
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
IFS
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SOL
1 - 0
KAR
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Assyriska FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FBK
3 - 5
ASS
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 0
IFS
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 1
ASS
30%
23%
47%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 2
ASS
26%
24%
51%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 2
ORE
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |