IF Elfsborg vs Mjällby AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
13º
5º
37
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 63 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 53 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 51 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 48 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 47 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 47 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 47 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 28 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 26 |
16º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
18% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
PAP
2 - 5
ELF
40%
24%
37%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HÄC
3 - 5
ELF
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ELF
3 - 0
PAP
51%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ELF
3 - 0
BRO
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ELF
0 - 0
FFK
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mjällby AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MJÄ
2 - 1
MFF
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MJÄ
3 - 2
SIR
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MJÄ
2 - 2
HVI
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
MJÄ
38%
28%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
MJÄ
2 - 1
HÄC
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |