IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
13º
7º
52
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 63 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 53 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 49 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 46 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 44 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 25 |
16º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 98.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 0
SIR
52%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 2
ELF
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ELF
1 - 2
KAL
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 0
ELF
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 1
ELF
29%
25%
47%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
MFF
1 - 1
DJU
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MFF
5 - 0
AIK
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
DJU
0 - 1
MFF
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MFF
1 - 0
VAS
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 4
MFF
28%
26%
47%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |