IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
13º
5º
22
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 63 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 53 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 52 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 46 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 44 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 44 |
9º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 32 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 31 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
14º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 24 |
16º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 47% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 25% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 0
ELF
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 1
ELF
29%
25%
47%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 2
IFK
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ELF
4 - 0
HAL
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HÄC
1 - 3
ELF
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kalmar FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 1
GÖT
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 2
SIR
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 1
KAL
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OIF
4 - 2
KAL
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 0
SIR
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |