Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-1
IF Elfsborg vs Iskra Rîbniţa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
HAM
3 - 1
ELF
12%
19%
70%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
DEG
0 - 2
ELF
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
GAI
0 - 2
ELF
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
ELF
4 - 0
AIK
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MJÄ
2 - 0
ELF
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Iskra Rîbniţa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
TIG
1 - 1
ISK
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
ISK
3 - 0
TIR
58%
26%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
MIL
1 - 3
ISK
31%
30%
39%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ISK
1 - 0
FCA
58%
26%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
FCR
0 - 0
ISK
29%
29%
42%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |