Europa League 1/32
Global 2-7
IF Elfsborg vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
ELF
1 - 2
MFF
32%
27%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
ORE
3 - 0
ELF
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
HER
3 - 1
ELF
84%
10%
6%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
ELF
1 - 0
AIK
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
ORG
2 - 2
ELF
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
HER
2 - 1
BVB
67%
19%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1971 |
EIN
1 - 1
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
HER
3 - 1
ELF
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
HER
1 - 1
KOL
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
HSV
1 - 2
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |