Älgarna vs Lucksta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+171%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
14º
14º
22
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 61 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 48 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 34 |
8º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 24 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Älgarna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 1
IFA
47%
21%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
IFA
3 - 2
GIF
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 1
IFA
79%
13%
9%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
IFA
2 - 2
THO
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BOD
3 - 1
IFA
78%
13%
8%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 1
IFA
47%
21%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SKE
0 - 0
LUC
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 0
KFF
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FIF
6 - 2
LUC
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 4
BER
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |