Flint vs Ullern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
50.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
12º
10º
29
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 62 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
6º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
59.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
11º
|
63% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 23 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 16 |
13º
|
98% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
IFL
0 - 6
ETO
14%
16%
70%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
IFL
46%
21%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
IFL
0 - 4
ORN
16%
18%
66%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
IFL
1 - 5
SDF
4%
10%
86%
|
29 | 70 | 41 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
IFL
2 - 1
ETO
23%
18%
60%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ULL
0 - 2
BAR
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ULL
3 - 4
GOF
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BSN
2 - 0
ULL
18%
18%
64%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 0
ULL
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ULL
0 - 4
SSK
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |